Big East Player Projections Updated with Duane Wilson & Other Red Shirts

The Value Add Scholarship Table (review or edit google sheet here) continues to be built, with the addition of key Red Shirt freshman like Duane Wilson. I am posting the updated Big East players here, and a second post will give the projected result of every MU game, to follow-up on the discussion from my recent post (see it here, sorry I checked out on business prior to the discussion and did not see the responses until today).

A couple of notes on our players in response to questions:

1. Some questioned how some of our guys can have 0.00 value, and please note that a 0.00 Value Add means you are not better than a good bench player (8th or 9th man) on a major conference team. Those players have value, they just are not better than the typical replacement player who would come off the bench for them.

2. Why wasn't Duane Wilson listed in the previous post since he certainly adds value? I have to keep Value Add apples-to-apples, and since I did not have a good list of red shirt freshmen from last season, I couldn't simply add Wilson for Marquette until I was able to put together a comprehensive lists for all teams in the country.

3. How could the John Dawson we saw DOMINATE Georgetown have a 0.00 Value Add? Dawson not only won the Georgetown game for MU, but you could argue we would have lost to DePaul at the end of February without him, and he gave MU almost enough to upset Providence in March.Value Add is just a baseline to start a discussion, and if we saw an opposing player with a very low offensive rating of 84 who had very few steals on defense he would be nowhere near having value and so I can't subjectively give a player I've watch more like Dawson a higher rating, even though I have faith in him.

4 Can Marquette exceed these ratings? Definitely - we have seen enough of Steve Taylor's post game to know that if he is finally healthy he should be much better than a 0.10 Value Add, and as good as Derrick Wilson's defense is he can also have value if the 25,000 shots he took in the offseason makes him just an average offensive player - so the potential for both of them as well as Luke Fischer performing well above their projections could create a nice team around Deonte Burton and Matt Carlino and other likely contributors.

Here are the projections for all Big East players.

2015	Name	2015 Value	Rnk	Class	Ht	NBA	%	2016	Value	Rnk	2014	Value
MU	Anderson, Juan	1.30	797	4 Sr	6'6"			Grad			MU	1.1
MU	Burton, Deonte	3.36	333	2 So	6'4"	SG	36%	MU	4.4	184	MU	1.66
MU	Carlino, Matt	3.07	384	4 Sr	6'2"			Grad			BYU	2.6
MU	Cohen, Sandy	1.13	859	1 Fr	6'5"			MU	2.28	430	Prep	NA
MU	Dawson, John	0.00		2 So	6'2"			MU	0		MU	0
MU	Fischer, Luke	0.72	1103	2 So	6'11"			MU	0.94	830	Ind	0.36
MU	Gardner, Davante	Grad		5 Gone	6'8"			Grad			MU	4.75
MU	Johnson, JaJuan	2.98	405	2 So	6'5"	SG	30%	MU	2.98	905	MU	0.3
MU	Mayo, Todd	Draft		4 Sr	6'3"			Grad			MU	1.82
MU	Otule, Chris	Grad		5 Gone	6'11"			Grad			MU	0.41
MU	Taylor, Steve	0.10	1939	3 Jr	6'7"			MU	0.12		MU	0.08
MU	Thomas, Jake	Grad		5 Gone	6'3"			Grad			MU	0.77
MU	Wilson, Derrick	0.00		4 Sr	6'1"			Grad			MU	0
MU	Wilson, Duane	1.80	648	1 Fr	6'2"			2 So	3.7		MU	RS
MU	Wilson, Jamil	Grad		5 Gone	6'7"			Grad			MU	1.47
MU	zzTeam total = 14.46	Top 5 = 12.51	88
Butl	Aldridge, Jackson	0		4 Sr	6'0			Grad			Butl	0
Butl	Barlow, Alex	3.71	293	4 Sr	5'11"			Grad			Butl	3.15
Butl	Brown, Elijah	Trans		2 So	6'4"			Available	0		Butl	0
Butl	Chrabascz, Andrew	4.18	251	2 So	6'7"			Butl	5.47	124	Butl	2.07
Butl	Davis, Jackson	0.2	1831	1 Fr	6'8"			Butl	0.4		Prep	NA
Butl	Dunham, Kellen	5.06	149	3 Jr	6'6"	SG	71%	Butl	5.06	724	Butl	0.77
Butl	Etherington, Austin	0		3 Jr	6'6"			Butl	0		Ind	0
Butl	Jones, Roosevelt	2.78	438	3 Jr	6'4"						2013	2.12
Butl	Marshall, Khyle	Grad		5 Gone	6'6"			Grad			Butl	1.15
Butl	Martin, Kelan	0.72	1102	1 Fr	6'5"			Butl	1.45	608	Prep	NA
Butl	Wideman, Tyler	0.3	1550	1 Fr	6'6"			Butl	0.61		Prep	NA
Butl	Woods, Kameron	1.73	663	4 Sr	6'9"			Grad			Butl	1.47
Butl	zzTeam total = 18.68	Top 5 = 17.46	50
Crei	Artino, Will	2.03	580	4 Sr	6'11"			Grad			Crei	1.72
Crei	Brooks, Devin	2.6	462	4 Sr	6'2"	PG	8%	Grad			Crei	2.2
Crei	Chatman, Austin	2.03	581	4 Sr	6'0			Grad			Crei	1.72
Crei	Dingman, Avery	0.44	1404	4 Sr	6'6"			Grad			Crei	0.38
Crei	Gibbs, Grant	Grad		5 Gone	6'5"			Grad			Crei	1.38
Crei	Gilmore, Leon	0.77	1072	1 Fr	6'7"			Crei	1.56	578	Prep	NA
Crei	Harrell, Ronnie	1.26	806	1 Fr	6'8"			Crei	2.55	387	Prep	NA
Crei	Henger, Toby	0.3	1558	1 Fr							Crei	RS
Crei	Kreklow, Ricky	0.32	1518	4 Sr	6'6"			Grad			Cal	0.28
Crei	Manigat, Jahenns	Grad		5 Gone	6'1"			Grad			Crei	3.01
Crei	McDermott, Doug	Grad		5 Gone	6'8"			Grad			Crei	9.4
Crei	Milliken, James	0.5	1295	3 Jr							JUCO
Crei	Wragge, Ethan	Grad		5 Gone	6'7"			Grad			Crei	3.16
Crei	Zierden, Isaiah	0.92	989	2 So	6'2"			Crei	1.21	714	Crei	0.46
Crei	zzTeam total = 11.17	Top 5 = 8.84	123
DeP	Crockett, Jamee	0		4 Sr	6'4"			Grad			DeP	0
DeP	Curington, RJ	0.12	1917	2 So	6'4"			DeP	0.15		DeP	0.06
DeP	Doby, Raymond	0.35	1489	1 Fr	6'7"			DeP	0.71	944	Prep	NA
DeP	Garrett, Billy	1.7	672	2 So	6'5"			DeP	2.23	442	DeP	0.84
DeP	Hamilton, Tommy	0		2 So	6'10"			DeP	0		DeP	0
DeP	Henry, Myke	0.88	1009	3 Jr	6'6"			DeP	1.04	787	2013Ill	0.67
DeP	Marcius, Sandi	Grad		5 Gone	6'10"			Grad			DeP	0.33
DeP	Marrero, DeJuan	0		2 So	6'5"			DeP	0		DeP	0
DeP	McDonald, Durrell	0.42	1421	3 Jr	6'1"			DeP	0.5		DeP	0.32
DeP	McKinney, Charles	0.22	1815	4 Sr	6'3"			Grad			DeP	0.19
DeP	Melvin, Cleveland	Grad		5 Gone	6'8"			Grad			DeP	1.61
DeP	Robinson, Forrest	0.38	1468	4 Sr	6'10"			Grad			DeP	0.33
DeP	Ryckbosch, Peter	0		3 Jr	6'9"			DeP	0		DeP	0
DeP	Sequele, Greg	0.1	1944	4 Sr	6'9"			Grad			DeP	0.09
DeP	Simpson, Aaron	1.1	876	3 Jr							JUCO
DeP	Stimage, Rashaun	0.5	1296	3 Jr	6'8"			DeP	0.59		JUCO	NA
DeP	Wood, Darrick	0.3	1564	1 Fr	6'4"			DeP	0.61		Prep	NA
DeP	Young, Brandon	Grad		5 Gone	6'4"			Grad			DeP	1.31
DeP	zzTeam total = 6.07	Top 5 = 4.6	197
Gtown	Ayegba, Moses	Grad		5 Gone	6'9"			Grad			Gtown	0.25
Gtown	Cameron, Reggie	2.81	431	2 So	6'7"	PF	26%	Gtown	2.81		Gtown	0.12
Gtown	Campbell, Tre	0.85	1023	1 Fr	6'1"			Gtown	1.72	544	Prep	NA
Gtown	Copeland, Isaac	4.3	240	1 Fr	6'9"			Gtown	6.8	68	Prep	NA
Gtown	Derrickson, Marcus	not yet		Prep	6'7"			Gtown	1.3	677	Prep	NA
Gtown	Govan, Jessie	3	394	1 Fr	6'10"			Available	5.5	393	Prep	NA
Gtown	Hopkins, Mikael	1.72	668	4 Sr	6'9"	PF	4%	Grad			Gtown	1.1
Gtown	Lubick, Nate	Grad		5 Gone	6'8"			Grad			Gtown	1.63
Gtown	Mourning, Trey	0.3	1579	1 Fr	6'9"			Gtown	0.61		Prep	NA
Gtown	Peak, LJ	1.42	756	1 Fr	6'4"			Gtown	2.87	329	Prep	NA
Gtown	Rivera, D'Vauntes	8.58	13	3 Jr	6'3"	SG	68%	Gtown	10.13	11	Gtown	6.55
Gtown	Smith, Joshua	2.15	547	4 Sr	6'10"	C	13%	Grad			Gtown	1.44
Gtown	Starks, Markel	Grad		5 Gone	6'2"			Grad			Gtown	2.25
Gtown	Trawick, Jabril	2.08	567	4 Sr	6'5"			Grad			Gtown	1.76
Gtown	White, Paul	1.6	701	1 Fr	6'8"			Gtown	3.23	275	Prep	NA
Gtown	zzTeam total = 28.81	Top 5 = 20.84	32
Prov	Bancroft, Ted	Grad		5 Gone	6'6"			Grad			Prov	0.02
Prov	Batts, Kadeem	Grad		5 Gone	6'9"			Grad			Prov	1.38
Prov	Bentil, Ben	1.21	832	1 Fr	6'8"			Prov	2.44	404	Prep	NA
Prov	Bullock, Rodney	0.5	1271	1 Fr							Prov	susp
Prov	Cartwright, Kyron	0.25	1783	1 Fr	5'10"			Prov	0.51		Prep	NA
Prov	Chukwu, Paschal	1.49	731	1 Fr	7'2"			Prov	3.01	309	Prep	NA
Prov	Cotton, Bryce	Grad		5 Gone	6'1"			Grad			Prov	6.52
Prov	Desrosiers, Carson	2.3	515	4 Sr	7'0			Grad			Prov	1.95
Prov	Dunn, Kris	5.05	151	3 Jr	6' 3"	PG	71%	Prov	5.05		Prov	inj
Prov	Fortune, Josh	Trans		3 Jr	6'5"			Available	0.57		Prov	0.44
Prov	Harris, Tyler	4.95	163	3 Jr	6'9"	SF	69%	Prov	4.95	558	Prov	1.06
Prov	Henton, LaDontae	5.52	103	4 Sr	6'6"			Grad			Prov	4.68
Prov	Jackson, William	not yet		Prep	6'4"			Georgia	1.04	788	Prep	NA
Prov	Lindsey, Jalen	1.41	761	1 Fr	6'6"			Prov	2.85	333	Prep	NA
Prov	Lomomba, Junior	0		2 So	6'5"						2013CleSt	0
Prov	Owens, Alex	not yet		Prep	6'8"			Prov	1.03	793	Prep	NA
Prov	zzTeam total = 22.68	Top 5 = 19.31	35
SH	Ajou, Chier	0		1 Fr							2013NW	rs
SH	Anthony, Rashad	0		1 Fr							SH	rs
SH	Auda, Patrik	1.84	640	4 Sr	6'9"			Grad			SH	1.56
SH	Carrington, Khadeen	0.84	1025	1 Fr	6'3"			SH	1.7	547	Prep	NA
SH	Delgado, Angel	1.57	714	1 Fr	6'8"			SH	3.17	290	Prep	NA
SH	Edwin, Fuquan	Grad		5 Gone	6'6"			Grad			SH	2.49
SH	Geramipoor, Aaron	Grad		5 Gone	6'11"			Grad			SH	0.45
SH	Gibbs, Sterling	2.83	429	3 Jr	6'2"			SH	3.33	267	SH	2.16
SH	Karlis, Haralds	0		4 Sr	6'6"			Grad			SH	0
SH	Maayan, Tom	0		3 Jr	6'2"			SH	0		SH	0
SH	Manga, Stephane	0		4 Sr	6'6"			Grad			SH	0
SH	Mobley, Brandon	0.46	1388	4 Sr	6'9"			Grad			SH	0.39
SH	Nzei, Michael	0.4	1439	1 Fr	6'7"			SH	0.81	894	Prep	NA
SH	Oleka, Obinna	0.3	1678	1 Fr	6'8"			SH	0.61		Prep	NA
SH	Oliver, Brian	Grad		5 Gone	6'7"			Grad			SH	0.93
SH	Rodriguez, Desi	0.6	1191	1 Fr	6'5"			SH	1.21	712	Prep	NA
SH	Sanogo, Ismael	0.4	1440	1 Fr	6'6"			SH	0.81	893	Prep	NA
SH	Sina, Jaren	0.5	1272	2 So	6'2"			SH	0.66	978	SH	0.25
SH	Teague, Gene	Grad		5 Gone	6'9"			Grad			SH	2.73
SH	Whitehead, Isaiah	5.7	83	1 Fr	6'4"			SH	7.5	47	Prep	NA
SH	zzTeam total = 15.44	Top 5 = 12.78	84
StJ	Achiuwa, God'sgift	Grad		5 Gone	6'8"			Grad			StJ	0.75
StJ	Alblegovic, Amar	0		1 Fr							Prep
StJ	Branch, Jamal	0.07	1995	4 Sr	6'3"			Grad			StJ	0.06
StJ	DelaRosa, Adonis	0.15	1880	1 Fr	6'11"			StJ	0.3		Prep	NA
StJ	Greene, Phil	0.59	1207	4 Sr	6'2"			Grad			StJ	0.5
StJ	Harrison, D'Angelo	5.5	109	4 Sr	6'4"			Grad			StJ	4.66
StJ	Jordan, Rysheed	3.38	330	2 So	6'4"	PG	38%	StJ	3.38		StJ	0.1
StJ	Obekpa, Chris	5.25	132	3 Jr	6'9"	PF/C	75%	StJ	5.25	234	StJ	2.47
StJ	Pointer, Sir'Dominic	2.5	478	4 Sr	6'5"			Grad			StJ	2.12
StJ	Sampson, JaKarr	Draft		3 Jr	6'9"			Nba			StJ	1.29
StJ	Sanchez, Orlando	Grad		5 Gone	6'9"			Grad			StJ	2.73
StJ	Thomas, Keith	1.7	674	3 Jr							JUCO
StJ	zzTeam total = 19.14	Top 5 = 18.33	46
Vill	Arcidiacono, Ryan	4.84	181	3 Jr	6'3"	PG	67%	Vill	4.84	223	Vill	2.55
Vill	Barefield, Sedrick	not yet		Prep	6'2"			SMU	1.12	761	Prep	NA
Vill	Bell, James	Grad		5 Gone	6'6"			Grad			Vill	5.21
Vill	Booth, Phil	1.25	813	1 Fr	6'3"			Vill	2.53	390	Prep	NA
Vill	Bridges, Mikal	1.15	851	1 Fr	6'6"			Vill	2.32	425	Prep	NA
Vill	Chennault, Tony	Grad		5 Gone	6'2"			Grad			Vill	1.21
Vill	Ennis, Dylan	0.6	1195	3 Jr	6'2"			Vill	0.7	946	Vill	0.46
Vill	Hart, Josh	5.84	74	2 So	6'5"	SG	30%	Vill	7.66	43	Vill	3.34
Vill	Hilliard, Darrun	5.05	152	4 Sr	6'6"			Grad			Vill	4.28
Vill	Jenkins, Kris	1.7	673	2 So	6'6"			Vill	2.23	441	Vill	0.84
Vill	Ochefu, Daniel	4.91	168	3 Jr	6'11"	C	68%	Vill	4.91	243	Vill	2.38
Vill	Pinkston, JayVaughn	5.92	68	4 Sr	6'7"	PF	7%	Grad			Vill	5.02
Vill	zzTeam total = 31.26	Top 5 = 26.56	13
Xav	Abell, Remy	1.9	623	3 Jr	6'4"			Xav	2.24	440	2013Ind	1.45
Xav	Austin, Larry	0.94	975	1 Fr	6'1"			Xav	1.9	504	Prep	NA
Xav	Bluiett, Trevon	3.2	357	1 Fr	6'5"			Xav	5.7	113	Prep	NA
Xav	Christon, Semaj	Draft		3 Jr	6'3"			Nba			Xav	2.9
Xav	Davis, Dee	1.15	855	4 Sr	6'0			Grad			Xav	0.98
Xav	Davis, Myles	0.6	1194	2 So	6'2"			Xav	0.78	914	Xav	0.29
Xav	Farr, James	3.05	389	3 Jr	6'9"			Xav	3.6	247	Xav	2.33
Xav	London, Makinde	1.27	805	1 Fr	6'8"			Xav	2.57	385	Prep	NA
Xav	Macura, JP	1.06	903	1 Fr	6'4"			Xav	2.14	463	Prep	NA
Xav	O'Mara, Sean	0.73	1098	1 Fr	6'9"			Xav	1.47	601	Prep	NA
Xav	Philmore, Isaiah	Grad		5 Gone	6'8"			Grad			Xav	1.18
Xav	Randolph, Brandon	0		2 So	6'1"			Xav	0		Xav	0
Xav	Reynolds, Jalen	2.15	546	2 So	6'9"			Xav	2.81	337	Xav	1.06
Xav	Stainbrook, Matt	4.93	167	4 Sr	6'10"			Grad			Xav	4.18
Xav	Sumner, Edmond	0.8	1057	1 Fr	6'3"			Xav	1.62	566	Prep	NA
Xav	zzTeam total = 21.78	Top 5 = 15.23	63