Updated 2019 Team and Player Projections With Kentucky, Oklahoma, Florida St. and Memphis signings

As we track players, one fact stands out - Joe Cremo projects as the third most valuable player available and the best hope for a Sweet 16 next year. More on that later.

Harry Froling makes the list of players lost due to signing a pro agent, but the 1.31 Value Add lost was factored into Marquette's 27th best 39.02 projected team Value Add at www.valueaddbasketball.com and on the projected 2019 players you can edit. Villanova's 13.50 point edge over everyone else could withstand the loss of Mikal Bridges (top projected 2019 Value Add at 11.06) but not both him and Jalen Brunson (No. 3 projected at 10.44).

Please keep the updates coming on the google sheet of all projected 2019 players. In addition to 100+ corrections, cleanup of a few duplicates, etc., Kentucky, Oklahoma, Florida State and Memphis had big signings to help propel them in the team projections below. EJ Montgomery picking Kentucky over Duke helps Kentucky maintain second place for Villanova now as they wait for additional players to decide on the NBA.

Rank Proj	Projected 2019 Players	Ht	Class	Team Gained	Proj. VA	Notes
94	EJ Montgomery	6-foot-10	Fr	Kentucky	6.80	247 Ranked 12, PF, signed April 9
584	Miles Reynolds #3	6-foot-2	Sr	Oklahoma	3.62	Sr. transfer from Pacific, SG
1126	David Nichols #13	6-foot-0	Sr	Florida St.	2.17	Sr. transfer from Albany, PG
1292	Alex Lomax	5-foot-11	Fr	Memphis	1.82	247 Ranked 144, PG, signed April 4

Of course, this included Kentucky losing two more players since the original update, with Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and Kevin Knox signing with agents at a cost of almost 16 Value Add points. Four other Kentucky players worth another 21.39 points are in the system as considering the NBA but still potentially staying at Kentucky; PJ Washington with a 5.65 Value Add, Hamidou Diallo 5.64, Jarred Vanderbilt 5.17 and Wenyen Gabriel 4.93.

Players signing agents	Ht	Class	Team Lost	Proj. VA	Notes
Deandre Ayton #13	7-foot-1	So	Arizona	9.98	Signed agent/Pro
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander #22	6-foot-6	Fr	Kentucky	9.16	Signed agent/Pro
Gary Trent #2	6-foot-6	Fr	Duke	7.43	Signed agent/Pro
Robert Williams #44	6-foot-10	So	Texas A&M	6.91	Signed agent/Pro
Kevin Knox #5	6-foot-9	Fr	Kentucky	6.77	Signed agent/Pro
Drew Eubanks #12	6-foot-10	Sr	Oregon	6.09	Signed agent/Pro
Leron Black #12	6-foot-7	Sr	Illinois	5.43	Signed agent/Pro
Bruce Brown #11	6-foot-5	So	Miami	5.39	Signed agent/Pro
Lagerald Vick #2	6-foot-5	Sr	Kansas	5.28	Signed agent/Pro
Deng Adel #22	6-foot-7	Jr	Louisville	5.05	Signed agent/Pro
Corey Sanders #3	6-foot-2	Sr	Rutgers	4.06	Signed agent/Pro
Harry Froling 13	6-foot-11	So	Marquette	1.31	Signed agent/Pro
Terry Larrier #22	6-foot-8	Sr	Connecticut	0.86	Signed agent/Pro

As you can see, eight of the top 25 projected players for next season could leave to go pro but have not signed agents. If a player signs with an agent we take him out of the database, but if they express an interest in the NBA and could be drafted then we flag them in the database with the "/could go NBA" in the Value Add Basketball database and in the "Considering NBA" 2nd team column below. If someone announces they are exploring the NBA but it does not appear they will be drafted, we assume for now they will return and do not flag them.

Projected Rank	Projected 2019 Players	Ht	Class	2019 Team	Proj. Value Add
1	Mikal Bridges #25	6-foot-7	Jr	Villanova /could go NBA	11.06
2	Keita Bates-Diop #33	6-foot-7	Jr	Ohio St. /could go NBA	10.66
3	Jalen Brunson #1	6-foot-2	Jr	Villanova /could go NBA	10.44
4	Juwan Morgan #13	6-foot-7	Sr	Indiana	10.07
5	Dean Wade #32	6-foot-10	Sr	Kansas St.	9.92
6	John Konchar #55	6-foot-5	Sr	Fort Wayne	9.57
7	Dylan Windler #3	6-foot-7	Sr	Belmont	9.54
8	James Thompson #2	6-foot-10	Sr	Eastern Michigan	9.44
9	Luke Maye #32	6-foot-8	Sr	North Carolina	9.18
11	RJ Barrett	6-foot-7	Fr	Duke	9
12	Carsen Edwards #3	6-foot-1	So	Purdue /could go NBA	8.94
13	Zhaire Smith #2	6-foot-5	Fr	Texas Tech /could go NBA	8.87
14	Anthony Cowan #1	6-foot-0	Jr	Maryland	8.86
15	Cameron Reddish	6-foot-7	Fr	Duke	8.8
16	Ethan Happ #22	6-foot-10	Sr	Wisconsin /could go NBA	8.76
17	Michael Oguine #0	6-foot-2	Sr	Montana	8.6
18	Zion Williamson	6-foot-6	Fr	Duke	8.6
19	Moe Wagner #13	6-foot-11	Jr	Michigan	8.58
20	Reid Travis #22	6-foot-8	Sr	Stanford	8.54
21	Cassius Winston #5	6-foot-0	Jr	Michigan St.	8.53
22	Jerome Robinson #1	6-foot-5	Jr	Boston College /could go NBA	8.53
23	Mike Daum #24	6-foot-9	Sr	South Dakota St.	8.46
24	Tyler Davis #34	6-foot-10	Sr	Texas A&M /could go NBA	8.43
25	Bol Bol	7-foot-1	Fr	Oregon	8.4

As you can see below, if no one left Villanova their projected Value Add would be 72.30, but if everyone considering the NBA left they would drop 29.34 to a 42.96. This, of course, plays well for Marquette and other teams with no one considering the NBA because they can only move up the list with NBA departures from others. Of course, the database will continue to adjust for other signings and departures - and please remember you must put something in column A if you have an update or catch a mistake. I review each record with a comment and then update www.valueaddbasketball.com as well. Here are where the 351 teams rank, BUT it really doesn't work well after the top 100 because in lower ranked conferences Value Add will capture the one player who could play at a high major level and value him more than three or four excellent lower conference players who could not competed in the power conferences.

Rnk	Team	Proj Value Add	Considering NBA	If Lose All
1	Villanova	72.30	29.34	42.96
2	Kentucky	58.80	21.39	37.41
3	Auburn	53.79	6.00	47.79
4	Oregon	53.56		53.56
5	North Carolina	48.78		48.78
6	Tennessee	48.39	12.87	35.52
7	Duke	48.23		48.23
8	Nevada	47.52	22.37	25.15
9	Gonzaga	45.99	13.17	32.82
10	Mississippi St.	45.85	21.91	23.94
11	Maryland	45.70	14.02	31.68
12	Virginia	45.64	6.55	39.09
13	Syracuse	45.50	15.39	30.11
14	UCLA	45.23	10.10	35.12
15	LSU	44.15		44.15
16	North Carolina St.	42.67		42.67
17	Ohio St.	41.95	10.66	31.29
18	Virginia Tech	41.52	4.25	37.27
19	Michigan St.	41.44	6.64	34.80
20	Michigan	40.94		40.94
21	Alabama	40.85	15.14	25.71
22	Miami FL	40.48	6.53	33.95
23	Florida	39.94	6.61	33.33
24	USC	39.67		39.67
25	Texas	39.40	5.03	34.37
26	Montana	39.13		39.13
27	Marquette	39.02		39.02
28	Kansas	38.88	7.03	31.85
29	Kansas St.	38.52	5.84	32.68
30	Florida St.	38.19		38.19
31	Arizona St.	38.02		38.02
32	Iowa	36.88	8.39	28.49
33	TCU	36.75		36.75
34	Northeastern	36.74		36.74
35	Boston College	36.40	14.67	21.73
36	Notre Dame	36.15		36.15
37	Iowa St.	35.92	3.83	32.09
38	Indiana	35.64		35.64
39	Xavier	35.32		35.32
40	BYU	35.28	7.65	27.63
41	Providence	34.97		34.97
42	San Diego St.	34.93	8.02	26.91
43	Fresno St.	34.90	5.63	29.27
44	Texas Tech	34.90	8.87	26.03
45	Northwestern	34.84		34.84
46	Davidson	34.81		34.81
47	Houston	34.69		34.69
48	St. John's	34.62	7.81	26.81
49	Washington	34.33	13.30	21.03
50	Wake Forest	34.32		34.32
51	Vanderbilt	34.12		34.12
52	Butler	34.11		34.11
53	West Virginia	33.86	7.29	26.57
54	South Dakota St.	33.84		33.84
55	Purdue	33.66	8.94	24.72
56	Clemson	33.44	13.21	20.23
57	Texas A&M	33.32	13.97	19.35
58	Creighton	32.80		32.80
59	Loyola Chicago	32.73		32.73
60	Georgetown	32.59		32.59
61	Nebraska	32.25	13.77	18.48
62	Mississippi	31.81	3.78	28.03
63	Missouri	31.67	6.93	24.74
64	Arizona	31.50		31.50
65	Penn St.	31.31	7.19	24.12
66	Baylor	31.07		31.07
67	Dayton	30.75	3.77	26.98
68	Oklahoma St.	30.49		30.49
69	Stanford	30.24		30.24
70	SMU	29.93	9.79	20.14
71	Marshall	29.69	7.79	21.90
72	Minnesota	29.58		29.58
73	Buffalo	29.39		29.39
74	Oklahoma	29.16		29.16
75	Cincinnati	29.06		29.06
76	UNC Greensboro	29.04		29.04
77	San Diego	28.97		28.97
78	Georgia Tech	28.44	6.56	21.88
79	Wisconsin	28.21	8.76	19.45
80	Georgia St.	28.05	4.57	23.48
81	New Mexico	28.01		28.01
82	Rhode Island	27.97		27.97
83	Belmont	27.91		27.91
84	Arkansas	27.89		27.89
85	Wofford	27.71	6.97	20.74
86	Temple	27.69		27.69
87	Louisville	27.56		27.56
88	St. Bonaventure	27.31		27.31
89	Connecticut	27.06		27.06
90	Northern Kentucky	27.03		27.03
91	Illinois	26.98		26.98
92	Murray St.	26.88		26.88
93	Lipscomb	26.81		26.81
94	Rider	26.39		26.39
95	UC Davis	26.36		26.36
96	Louisiana Lafayette	26.34		26.34
97	Richmond	26.30		26.30
98	Toledo	26.27		26.27
99	Oregon St.	26.25		26.25
100	Northern Iowa	26.18		26.18
101	Ball St.	26.14		26.14
102	Liberty	26.13		26.13
103	Furman	26.12		26.12
104	Southern Illinois	26.04		26.04
105	Northern Colorado	25.99		25.99
106	North Texas	25.99		25.99
107	Akron	25.72		25.72
108	South Carolina	25.71		25.71
109	Georgia Southern	25.61		25.61
110	Memphis	25.59		25.59
111	Saint Mary's	25.43		25.43
112	Georgia	25.36		25.36
113	Saint Louis	25.36		25.36
114	Middle Tennessee	25.35		25.35
115	Canisius	25.12		25.12
116	Fort Wayne	24.99		24.99
117	Rutgers	24.91		24.91
118	New Mexico St.	24.89		24.89
119	Jacksonville St.	24.87		24.87
120	Hofstra	24.74	6.35	18.39
121	Saint Joseph's	24.70		24.70
122	Harvard	24.68		24.68
123	Utah St.	24.62		24.62
124	South Dakota	24.45		24.45
125	DePaul	24.41	6.50	17.91
126	Old Dominion	24.40		24.40
127	Tulsa	24.39		24.39
128	Eastern Michigan	24.33		24.33
129	Colorado	24.21		24.21
130	Radford	24.21		24.21
131	UC Irvine	24.15		24.15
132	UCF	24.01		24.01
133	Vermont	24.01		24.01
134	Illinois St.	23.91		23.91
135	Stephen F. Austin	23.82		23.82
136	Cornell	23.79	6.47	17.32
137	Tulane	23.78	6.35	17.43
138	Valparaiso	23.48		23.48
139	Pacific	23.36		23.36
140	Weber St.	23.31		23.31
141	Utah Valley	23.30		23.30
142	Western Kentucky	23.23		23.23
143	Southern Miss	23.20		23.20
144	Idaho St.	23.11		23.11
145	UTSA	23.00		23.00
146	Austin Peay	22.71		22.71
147	St. Francis PA	22.71		22.71
148	Campbell	22.68	5.66	17.02
149	Wright St.	22.57		22.57
150	College of Charleston	22.48		22.48
151	Seton Hall	22.48		22.48
152	Iona	22.45		22.45
153	William & Mary	22.38		22.38
154	Eastern Washington	22.35		22.35
155	Ohio	22.31		22.31
156	Bradley	22.29		22.29
157	Massachusetts	22.10		22.10
158	Winthrop	22.09		22.09
159	Central Michigan	22.09		22.09
160	Indiana St.	22.01		22.01
161	Cal St. Fullerton	21.97		21.97
162	Southeast Missouri St.	21.68		21.68
163	Yale	21.65		21.65
164	Illinois Chicago	21.48		21.48
165	San Francisco	21.22		21.22
166	UAB	21.10		21.10
167	Columbia	21.08		21.08
168	Towson	20.98		20.98
169	Princeton	20.97		20.97
170	James Madison	20.83		20.83
171	Northern Illinois	20.80	5.87	14.93
172	Missouri St.	20.70		20.70
173	Grand Canyon	20.64		20.64
174	Loyola Marymount	20.61		20.61
175	UNLV	20.60		20.60
176	Pepperdine	20.50		20.50
177	VCU	20.36		20.36
178	Wyoming	20.36	5.42	14.94
179	Charleston Southern	20.35		20.35
180	East Tennessee St.	20.29		20.29
181	Penn	20.28		20.28
182	Hartford	20.05		20.05
183	Kent St.	20.04		20.04
184	Lehigh	19.94		19.94
185	UT Arlington	19.76		19.76
186	Evansville	19.70		19.70
187	La Salle	19.61		19.61
188	North Florida	19.50		19.50
189	Louisiana Tech	19.46		19.46
190	UNC Asheville	19.45		19.45
191	Florida Gulf Coast	19.37	3.99	15.38
192	Western Michigan	19.28		19.28
193	South Alabama	19.23		19.23
194	Wichita St.	19.21		19.21
195	George Mason	19.13		19.13
196	Troy	19.13		19.13
197	Colorado St.	19.10		19.10
198	NJIT	18.96		18.96
199	Seattle	18.82		18.82
200	Duquesne	18.59		18.59
201	Louisiana Monroe	18.53		18.53
202	Texas Southern	18.50		18.50
203	Coastal Carolina	18.38		18.38
204	UNC Wilmington	18.20		18.20
205	Portland St.	18.18		18.18
206	Southeastern Louisiana	18.17		18.17
207	Milwaukee	18.10		18.10
208	Colgate	17.97		17.97
209	Lamar	17.90		17.90
210	Utah	17.90		17.90
211	Washington St.	17.84	5.43	12.41
212	Montana St.	17.82		17.82
213	Miami OH	17.76		17.76
214	Monmouth	17.61		17.61
215	Wagner	17.48		17.48
216	Idaho	17.24		17.24
217	Drexel	17.21		17.21
218	FIU	17.17		17.17
219	Fairleigh Dickinson	17.10		17.10
220	North Dakota	17.10		17.10
221	Bowling Green	17.07	3.67	13.40
222	California	17.01		17.01
223	Nebraska Omaha	16.90		16.90
224	Elon	16.89		16.89
225	Saint Peter's	16.86		16.86
226	UC Santa Barbara	16.66		16.66
227	Delaware	16.47		16.47
228	Boston University	16.45		16.45
229	Hawaii	16.43		16.43
230	Eastern Kentucky	16.38		16.38
231	Robert Morris	16.28		16.28
232	Niagara	16.28		16.28
233	LIU Brooklyn	16.25		16.25
234	Boise St.	16.25		16.25
235	Texas St.	16.11		16.11
236	Denver	16.10		16.10
237	Tennessee St.	16.07		16.07
238	Nicholls St.	15.98		15.98
239	Sam Houston St.	15.84		15.84
240	Albany	15.58		15.58
241	Air Force	15.56		15.56
242	Appalachian St.	15.51		15.51
243	UMBC	15.48		15.48
244	Fairfield	15.40		15.40
245	North Dakota St.	15.29		15.29
246	Stony Brook	15.27		15.27
247	Oral Roberts	15.25		15.25
248	Hampton	15.23		15.23
249	Oakland	15.09		15.09
250	High Point	15.07		15.07
251	Drake	14.96		14.96
252	Cal St. Bakersfield	14.93		14.93
253	Long Beach St.	14.90		14.90
254	George Washington	14.87		14.87
255	Navy	14.60		14.60
256	Brown	14.54		14.54
257	Army	14.48		14.48
258	Manhattan	14.38		14.38
259	Binghamton	14.29		14.29
260	Quinnipiac	13.93		13.93
261	Howard	13.92		13.92
262	Fordham	13.79		13.79
263	Jacksonville	13.78		13.78
264	New Orleans	13.76		13.76
265	Mercer	13.75		13.75
266	Mount St. Mary's	13.68		13.68
267	Charlotte	13.55	5.58	7.97
268	Bucknell	13.53		13.53
269	Eastern Illinois	13.43		13.43
270	Chattanooga	13.35		13.35
271	Detroit	13.25	4.70	8.55
272	Santa Clara	13.15		13.15
273	Central Arkansas	13.00		13.00
274	The Citadel	12.92		12.92
275	Abilene Christian	12.88		12.88
276	Morehead St.	12.80		12.80
277	Holy Cross	12.77		12.77
278	Gardner Webb	12.70		12.70
279	St. Francis NY	12.68		12.68
280	Western Carolina	12.62		12.62
281	Tennessee Martin	12.53		12.53
282	Southern Utah	12.45		12.45
283	Alabama St.	12.42		12.42
284	Sacramento St.	12.32		12.32
285	Dartmouth	12.32		12.32
286	American	12.29		12.29
287	Bethune Cookman	12.26		12.26
288	Texas A&M Corpus Chris	12.16		12.16
289	Portland	12.12		12.12
290	Little Rock	12.08		12.08
291	Prairie View A&M	12.08		12.08
292	Tennessee Tech	11.83		11.83
293	Central Connecticut	11.81		11.81
294	Siena	11.81		11.81
295	Green Bay	11.80		11.80
296	North Carolina Central	11.78		11.78
297	McNeese St.	11.70		11.70
298	Lafayette	11.68		11.68
299	UMass Lowell	11.55		11.55
300	South Florida	11.51		11.51
301	UTEP	11.45		11.45
302	Sacred Heart	11.18		11.18
303	Marist	11.12		11.12
304	Samford	11.09		11.09
305	North Carolina A&T	11.07		11.07
306	Loyola MD	10.86		10.86
307	IUPUI	10.76		10.76
308	Pittsburgh	10.74		10.74
309	Arkansas St.	10.73		10.73
310	New Hampshire	10.72		10.72
311	Youngstown St.	10.63		10.63
312	Norfolk St.	10.56		10.56
313	UMKC	10.48		10.48
314	Western Illinois	10.47		10.47
315	Arkansas Pine Bluff	10.44		10.44
316	Southern	10.41		10.41
317	Rice	10.36		10.36
318	Cal Poly	10.28		10.28
319	Stetson	10.19		10.19
320	Northwestern St.	9.89		9.89
321	East Carolina	9.87		9.87
322	Northern Arizona	9.86		9.86
323	Savannah St.	9.79		9.79
324	Cal St. Northridge	9.61		9.61
325	UC Riverside	9.52		9.52
326	UT Rio Grande Valley	9.44		9.44
327	Cleveland St.	9.28		9.28
328	Florida Atlantic	9.02		9.02
329	Florida A&M	9.01		9.01
330	Houston Baptist	9.00		9.00
331	Maryland Eastern Shore	8.96		8.96
332	Delaware St.	8.70		8.70
333	VMI	8.63		8.63
334	Kennesaw St.	8.52		8.52
335	Maine	7.96		7.96
336	Grambling St.	7.92		7.92
337	South Carolina St.	7.68		7.68
338	SIU Edwardsville	7.50		7.50
339	Morgan St.	7.39		7.39
340	Incarnate Word	7.36		7.36
341	San Jose St.	7.26		7.26
342	Presbyterian	7.21		7.21
343	Jackson St.	7.19		7.19
344	USC Upstate	7.07		7.07
345	Bryant	6.99		6.99
346	Chicago St.	6.61		6.61
347	Mississippi Valley St.	6.41		6.41
348	Alcorn St.	5.54		5.54
349	Longwood	5.16		5.16
350	Coppin St.	5.15		5.15
351	Alabama A&M	4.80		4.80