One fear in the offseason Value Add team rankings is that Big East teams would rate too high because the MUScoop community does an even better job of pointing out missing players from our teams than from others.
To that end, my secret weapon Molly Pudner, a data and information whiz, contacted all 351 D1 basketball Athletic Departments this month and received updates from more than 100 regarding their rosters. These are now all reflected in the google sheet, and hopefully will soon be current on www.valueaddbasketball.com. Molly (who also did my big data projects in my campaign days and whose brother did all the research for my Marquette book before going on to program cell towers across the country) also picked up on some things I had missed - such as Jay Bilas excellent rating of the best on-ball defenders (see subhead The Bilastrator's 30 best in-your-grill defenders). On-ball defense is the biggest item that Value Add cannot end, Ever since I watched Dominic Wright (then Dominic James) play lock down in your grill defense to force what registered as steals for other MU players I wished their was a way to get a separate evaluation of on-ball defense - so maybe I will do something with it.
The good news is that even with a ton of updates that moved some other teams around, the Big East teams were only passed by a few other teams. In fact, one non-Big East Athletic Director pointed out a transfer to Butler that we did not have in the system which help Butler right on the bubble at 51st. (like many of you, I actually was able to focus more on baseball the last few weeks while Molly collected the data, and had two baseball preview posts reach 80,000+ https://www.facebook.com/valueaddsports/)
Here are the updated team rankings, and neither St. John's or Marquette changed since the June 8 update, with St. John's maintaining the smallest edge of 0.12 points for the 2nd place in the Big East. Here are all the Big East teams and the Top 50.
Rank | Team | Value Add | Big East Changes |
---|---|---|---|
11 | Villanova | 38.51 | Same spot |
23 | St. John's | 33.25 | dropped 1 spot |
24 | Marquette | 33.13 | dropped 1 spot |
29 | Providence | 32.44 | Dropped 2 spots |
51 | Butler | 27.6 | Same spot |
67 | Xavier | 24.57 | Dropped 2 spots |
73 | Georgetown | 23.11 | Dropped 2 spots |
81 | Creighton | 22.35 | dropped 4 spots |
94 | DePaul | 21.15 | dropped 4 spots |
103 | Seton Hall | 20.36 | dropped 6 spots |
1 | Nevada | 51.85 | |
2 | Duke | 46.65 | |
3 | Kentucky | 45.33 | |
4 | Kansas | 42.29 | |
5 | Oregon | 41.52 | |
6 | Tennessee | 40.6 | |
7 | North Carolina | 40.31 | |
8 | Mississippi St. | 40.05 | |
9 | LSU | 39.18 | |
10 | Auburn | 38.66 | |
12 | Gonzaga | 37.94 | |
13 | Syracuse | 37.44 | |
14 | UCLA | 36.17 | |
15 | Miami FL | 35.60 | |
16 | South Dakota St. | 35.12 | |
17 | North Carolina St. | 35.07 | |
18 | Indiana | 34.95 | |
19 | Virginia | 34.62 | |
20 | Texas | 34.28 | |
21 | Michigan St. | 33.63 | |
22 | Virginia Tech | 33.49 | |
25 | Montana | 32.93 | |
26 | Maryland | 32.77 | |
27 | Florida | 32.73 | |
28 | Iowa | 32.49 | |
30 | Kansas St. | 32.39 | |
31 | Arizona St. | 32.1 | |
32 | Alabama | 32.09 | |
33 | San Diego St. | 31.84 | |
34 | Clemson | 31.56 | |
35 | USC | 31.41 | |
36 | Wisconsin | 30.75 | |
37 | TCU | 30.21 | |
38 | Iowa St. | 29.83 | |
39 | Washington | 29.81 | |
40 | Northeastern | 29.61 | |
41 | Nebraska | 29.49 | |
42 | Notre Dame | 29.38 | |
43 | Northwestern | 29.3 | |
44 | Western Kentucky | 29.22 | |
45 | Texas Tech | 29.21 | |
46 | Ohio St. | 28.95 | |
47 | Michigan | 28.48 | |
48 | West Virginia | 28.29 | |
49 | Florida St. | 28.25 | |
50 | Penn St. | 28.22 |
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