Selection Committee Confirms Marquette's Seeding

Since our first S-Curve on Christmas Day, we've had Marquette as a 3-seed. Despite the St. John's loss, the Selection Committee affirmed that Saturday when they revealed their early Top-16 with Marquette seeded 12th overall on the 3-line.

We had 14/16 picks correct. Iowa State made the top-16 & was our 17th team while Nevada was given a 4-seed that was more in line with their computer numbers than what their resume warrants. The first 12 teams on the Selection Committee's board were all on the correct seed line, with the most notable misplacement being Purdue; they were 12th on our board & 9th for the Committee. That, along with Nevada seemed to indicate the Selection Committee put a lot of stock in the aggregate computer numbers as well as Strength of Schedule.

The SOS numbers hurt some teams, most notably Virginia Tech (259 NCSOS) & Texas Tech (178 NCSOS), the only top-16 NET teams to not appear in the NCAA Top-16. The Selection Committee again put an emphasis on proving you can beat good teams, as Kansas & Marquette were both on the 3-line likely thanks to their Quadrant 1 wins despite being outside the top-16 of NET.

With the emphasis on computer numbers & (not surprisingly) proof of the ability to beat Q1 teams in mind, we reassessed our own S-Curve, with adjustments made based on what we learned from the Committee & results since Saturday.

1-Seeds: 1-DUKE, 2-TENNESSEE, 3-Virginia, 4-GONZAGA
2-Seeds: 8-Michigan State, 7-North Carolina, 6-MICHIGAN, 5-Kentucky
3-Seeds: 9-Kansas, 10-Purdue, 11-Houston, 12-Marquette
4-Seeds: 16-Texas Tech, 15-Louisville, 14-Iowa State, 13-NEVADA
5-Seeds: 17-Wisconsin, 18-Lsu, 19-VILLANOVA, 20-Iowa
6-Seeds: 24-Maryland, 23-Florida State, 22-KANSAS STATE, 21-Virginia Tech
7-Seeds: 25-Texas, 26-Mississippi State, 27-Cincinnati, 28-BUFFALO
8-Seeds: 32-Auburn, 31-WASHINGTON, 30-Baylor, 29-Mississippi
9-Seeds: 33-Ohio State, 34-WOFFORD, 35-Syracuse, 36-LIPSCOMB
10-Seeds: 40-Minnesota, 39-St. John's, 38-Indiana, 37-Oklahoma
11-Seeds: 41-Seton Hall, 42-BELMONT, 43-Clemson, 44-Nebraska
12-Seeds: 50-DAVIDSON, 49-Vcu/48-Nc State, 47-Butler/46-TCU, 45-Alabama
13-Seeds: 51-NEW MEXICO STATE, 52-HOFSTRA, 53-VERMONT, 54-YALE
14-Seeds: 58-SOUTH DAKOTA STATE, 57-RADFORD, 56-UC IRVINE, 55-OLD DOMINION
15-Seeds: 59-MONTANA, 60-NORTHERN KENTUCKY, 61-LOYOLA CHICAGO, 62-BUCKNELL
16-Seeds: 68-ST. FRANCIS (PA)/67-NORFOLK STATE, 66-SAM HOUSTON STATE/65-MONMOUTH, 64-PRAIRIE VIEW A&M, 63-UT ARLINGTON

Last Four Byes: Seton Hall, Clemson, Nebraska, Alabama
Last Four In: TCU, Butler, NC State, VCU
First Four Out: Creighton, Temple, Arizona State, Florida
Next Four Out: Georgetown, Utah State, UCF, Arkansas

Multiple Bid Leagues
Big 10: 10
ACC: 9
Big 12: 8
SEC: 7
Big East: 5
American: 2
Atlantic 10: 2