"My rule was I wouldn't recruit a kid if he had grass in front of his house.
That's not my world. My world was a cracked sidewalk." —Al McGuire

Tuesday, February 15, 2022

Marquette's Quadrant Breakdown

Marquette will try to avoid stepping on more rakes like the loss at Butler
 Image from The Simpsons | 20th Television

The bracket side of Cracked Sidewalks is preparing for a guest appearance on the Delphi Bracketology podcast later tonight as well as the Top-16 Reveal, so instead of digging deep into a topic, we'll talk a bit about Marquette's resume by Quadrant, including what's left on the schedule before getting to the new S-Curve. At this point, it's all about trying to not step on any more rakes.

Quadrant 1 (7-6), Remaining (1): at Creighton

Marquette is tied for third nationally in Quadrant 1 wins, behind only Baylor (9) and Kansas (8). While the game at Creighton is the only Q1 opportunity left on the schedule, the home game at Seton Hall could potentially move up to this Quadrant as the Pirates are 34 in the NET and the home cut-off is 30. At the other end, Providence could fall from Q1 to Q2 as the Friars sit exactly on the Q1 cutline at 30. Regardless, this is a very strong number, particularly as 4 of these wins are in the elite Q1A category.

Quadrant 2 (2-3), Remaining (1): at DePaul

The good news is that Marquette's two worst losses have moved up to this Quadrant as Creighton and St. Bonaventure are currently in Q2B. The roadie at DePaul is the only remaining Q2 game, though the Ole Miss win could move to this category as the Rebels are at 108 with the neutral cut-off being 100. Creighton is the game that seems most likely to fall out of this category, the Jays are 70 and the cutoff is 75.

Quadrant 3 (3-0), Remaining (2): vs Butler, vs St. John's

Marquette is solid here, with the only worry being a game from Q2 dropping to this range. Win at home and hope nothing falls so the resume doesn't have any bad losses.

Quadrant 4 (4-0), Remaining (1): vs Georgetown 

It's rare to play a Q4 game in Big East play, but here come the Hoyas. None of Marquette's current Q4 games look likely to move up, and Georgetown certainly doesn't seem to show any indications of improving by the 55 spots they would need to reach Q3 territory. The positive in this quadrant is there are no sub-300 games, which has helped give Marquette the #2 ranked Strength of Schedule nationally, which factored into us placing them on the 6 line this week.

1-Seeds: 1-GONZAGA 2-ARIZONA 3-Auburn 4-KENTUCKY

2-Seeds: 8-DUKE 7-PURDUE 6-BAYLOR 5-Kansas

3-Seeds: 9-VILLANOVA 10-Texas Tech 11-Tennessee 12-Ucla

4-Seeds: 16-HOUSTON 15-Providence 14-Wisconsin 13-Illinois

5-Seeds: 17-Lsu 18-Alabama 19-Michigan St 20-Ohio St

6-Seeds: 24-Xavier 23-Marquette 22-Connecticut 21-Texas

7-Seeds: 25-Arkansas 26-St. Mary's 27-Usc 28-Colorado St

8-Seeds: 32-Iowa 31-Boise St 30-WYOMING 29-Seton Hall

9-Seeds: 33-Tcu 34-MURRAY ST 35-San Francisco 36-Wake Forest

10-Seeds: 40-North Carolina 39-Notre Dame 38-Miami 37-Iowa St

11-Seeds: 41-Indiana 42-Oklahoma 43-Creighton 44-Memphis 45-Byu 46-Oregon

12-Seeds: 50-IONA 49-NORTH TEXAS 48-DAYTON 47-LOYOLA CHICAGO

13-Seeds: 51-CHATTANOOGA 52-SOUTH DAKOTA ST 53-TOLEDO 54-NEW MEXICO ST

14-Seeds: 58-OAKLAND 57-WAGNER 56-TOWSON 55-VERMONT

15-Seeds: 59-LIBERTY 60-UC IRVINE 61-PRINCETON 62-MONTANA ST

16-Seeds: 68-NICHOLLS ST 67-SOUTHERN 66-GARDNER WEBB 65-NORFOLK ST 64-NAVY 63-SOUTH ALABAMA

 

Last Four Byes: Notre Dame, North Carolina, Indiana, Oklahoma

Last Four In: Creighton, Memphis, BYU, Oregon

First Four Out: San Diego State, Kansas State, Davidson, Belmont

Next Four Out: Michigan, West Virginia, SMU, Rutgers

Also Considered: Florida, Mississippi St, Virginia Tech, VCU, St. Louis, UAB, Virginia, Washington St, Texas A&M, Utah St, Santa Clara, Cincinnati


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