MU & Butler Project as 1st 2 Teams Out After Value Add Adjustment for Froling and All Other Injuries, Transfers worth 0.5 or more pts.

The following table seeds the NCAA March Madness Field based on each team's current rating at www.kenpom.com adjusted by the Value Add rating of each player who is returning or lost for the season.

The first number is the current KenPom Rating. If a player who helps or hurts a team by at least 0.50 points is listed in this blog, then that total is reflected in the second "change" number, and after those two numbers are added together they are multiplied by .70 to estimate how many points each team is better or worse than average. Villanova calculates as 21.46 points better than the average team, which would leave them with a 1-seed.

Marquette and Butler actually calculate as the first two teams out of the tournament with Froling projecting to help the team by 1.21 points to make MU 9.91 points better than the average team in the country.

Team	KenPom	Change	Pts above ave	Conf	Seed
Villanova	31.02		21.46	BE	1
Michigan St.	28.63		19.79	B10	1
North Carolina	22.22	5.64	19.25	ACC	1
Virginia	27.15		18.76	ACC	1
Duke	26.39		18.22	ACC	2
Arizona	21.43	4.61	17.98	P12	2
Purdue	25.71		17.75	B10	2
Kansas	24.84		17.14	B12	2
Texas A&M	24.25		16.73	SEC	3
West Virginia	22.56		15.54	B12	3
Clemson	19.23	3.15	15.42	ACC	3
Wichita St.	22.38		15.42	Amer	3
Cincinnati	22.3		15.36	Amer	4
Texas Tech	22.29		15.35	B12	4
Gonzaga	21.71		14.95	WCC	4
Miami FL	21.52		14.81	ACC	4
Seton Hall	20.02	1.48	14.80	BE	5
Oklahoma	21.19		14.58	B12	5
Kentucky	21.18		14.58	SEC	5
Xavier	21.08		14.51	BE	5
Florida St.	18.2	2.18	14.02	ACC	6
Saint Mary's	17.4	2.17	13.45	WCC	6
Baylor	18.33	1.10	13.35	B12	6
Arizona St.	19.25		13.23	P12	6
SMU	19.14		13.15	Amer	7
TCU	19.14		13.15	B12	7
Notre Dame	19.08		13.11	ACC	7
Arkansas	19.06		13.09	SEC	7
Louisville	16.82	1.98	12.91	ACC	8
Florida	16.91	1.64	12.74	SEC	8
Texas	17.3	1.12	12.64	B12	8
Tennessee	18		12.35	SEC	8
Nevada	17.83		12.23	MWC	9
Creighton	17.66		12.11	BE	9
USC	16.28	0.94	11.80	P12	9
St. Bonaventure	11.68	5.47	11.76	A10	9
St. John's	13.76	3.34	11.72	BE	10
Michigan	17.04		11.68	B10	10
Maryland	16.97		11.63	B10	10
Virginia Tech	16.51		11.31	ACC	10
Houston	15.72		10.75	Amer	11
Auburn	15.02		10.26	SEC	11
Penn St.	14.77		10.09	B10	12-Dayton
Alabama	13.27	1.40	10.02	SEC	12-Dayton
Minnesota	14.61		9.98	B10	12-Dayton
Kansas St.	14.57		9.95	B12	12-Dayton
Northern Iowa	6.97	4.91	8.06	MVC	11
Middle Tennessee	10.43		7.05	CUSA	11
Vermont	9.07		6.10	AE	12
College of Charleston	4.38	4.68	6.09	CAA	12
Northern Kentucky	8.42		5.64	Horz	13
UT Arlington	8.23		5.51	SB	13
Bucknell	6.02	1.37	4.92	Pat	13
South Dakota	7.35		4.90	Sum	13
Portland St.	3.32	3.43	4.48	BSky	14
New Mexico St.	6.67		4.42	WAC	14
East Tennessee St.	6.54		4.33	SC	14
Ohio	1.35	5.17	4.32	MAC	14
Belmont	5.62		3.68	OVC	15
Stephen F. Austin	4.25		2.73	Slnd	15
Iona	4.14		2.65	MAAC	15
Florida Gulf Coast	2.3	1.73	2.57	ASun	15
Princeton	4.02		2.56	Ivy	16
UC Santa Barbara	3.39		2.12	BW	16
St. Francis PA	-1.42	3.61	1.28	NEC	16-Dayton
UNC Asheville	2.17		1.27	BSth	16-Dayton
Texas Southern	-3.84		-2.94	SWAC	16-Dayton
Hampton	-8.5		-6.20	MEAC	16-Dayton
Butler	14.54		9.93	BE	1st 4 out
Marquette	13.3	1.21	9.91	BE	1st 4 out
Ohio St.	14.36		9.80	B10	1st 4 out
UCF	8.32	5.57	9.48	Amer	1st 4 out
Missouri	13.84		9.44	SEC	Next 4 out
Oregon	13.8		9.41	P12	Next 4 out
Rhode Island	13.21		9.00	A10	Next 4 out
Oklahoma St.	13.6	-0.61	8.84	B12	Next 4 out
Syracuse	12.89		8.77	ACC	3rd 4 out
Providence	10.57	1.84	8.44	BE	3rd 4 out
San Diego St.	12.13		8.24	MWC	3rd 4 out
Georgia	10.7	1.42	8.23	SEC	3rd 4 out